Home » Headlines » Public Opinion Polls » Gallup poll: Obama approval numbers suggest shifting Electoral College map

Gallup poll: Obama approval numbers suggest shifting Electoral College map

 

Michael Barone |Washington Examiner

Gallup has released President Obama’s approval numbers for 2013 for the 50 states and the District of Columbia. I thought it would be interesting to compare those percentages with Obama’s percentage of the 2012 popular vote in each state and D.C. His approval ratings seem to track closely with his percentage of the vote: His job approval nationally was 50 percent in the first week of November 2012, and he received 51 percent of the popular vote. Gallup conducts many interviews over the course of a year, and so its figures for each state are statistically meaningful, although I think that the error margin in small states is probably pretty large.

With that caveat in mind, let’s look at where Obama’s job approval fell significantly from 2012 to 2013 and where it remained relatively steady — or remained identical (in one state) or improved (in three). Nationally, Obama’s Gallup job approval in 2013 (46.5 percent) was down 4.5 percentage points from his 2012 popular vote percentage of 51.

[...]

 

Enhanced by Zemanta

Share and Enjoy

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • Delicious
  • LinkedIn
  • StumbleUpon
  • Add to favorites
  • Email
  • RSS

Comments are welcome, but

Comments at Grumpy Opinions are moderated, edited, and deleted at the sole discretion of Grumpy Opinions Moderators. Relevant and polite comments are very welcome. Comments that include inappropriate content, baseless accusations, name calling, inappropriate links or language will be edited or removed. Inappropriate content includes that which is rude, vulgar, belligerent or otherwise irrelevant or that include links to sites that meet the same description. Spam is also deleted. Personal attacks against authors and or other posters will not be tolerated. At the sole discretion of the moderators. individuals may be blocked from commenting permanently...